Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 8.056132e-05 9.794809e-05 0.000117 0.000138 0.000162 0.000188 0.000217
2024-10-27 6.077710e-05 8.299264e-05 0.000109 0.000140 0.000176 0.000216 0.000265
2024-11-03 4.389520e-05 6.662320e-05 0.000094 0.000130 0.000172 0.000222 0.000282
2024-11-10 3.841623e-05 6.347903e-05 0.000095 0.000138 0.000190 0.000252 0.000328
2024-11-17 3.004538e-05 5.476737e-05 0.000088 0.000133 0.000191 0.000261 0.000349
2024-11-24 2.265275e-05 4.633607e-05 0.000080 0.000128 0.000191 0.000268 0.000367
2024-12-01 1.748873e-05 4.007869e-05 0.000074 0.000124 0.000191 0.000275 0.000385
2024-12-08 1.349045e-05 3.498992e-05 0.000069 0.000121 0.000193 0.000284 0.000405
2024-12-15 9.936232e-06 2.976928e-05 0.000063 0.000116 0.000191 0.000288 0.000418
2024-12-22 7.659785e-06 2.641885e-05 0.000060 0.000115 0.000194 0.000298 0.000439
2024-12-29 5.939149e-06 2.368457e-05 0.000057 0.000114 0.000198 0.000308 0.000460
2025-01-05 4.124574e-06 2.013104e-05 0.000053 0.000110 0.000196 0.000313 0.000473
2025-01-12 2.094059e-06 1.558672e-05 0.000047 0.000106 0.000199 0.000327 0.000507
2025-01-19 1.100261e-06 1.300005e-05 0.000045 0.000108 0.000209 0.000352 0.000554
2025-01-26 2.600842e-07 8.816022e-06 0.000038 0.000099 0.000203 0.000353 0.000571
2025-02-02 1.329678e-07 8.331245e-06 0.000039 0.000106 0.000221 0.000389 0.000634
2025-02-09 8.244248e-09 6.142300e-06 0.000035 0.000102 0.000222 0.000400 0.000663
2025-02-16 NaN 4.232337e-06 0.000030 0.000098 0.000221 0.000409 0.000689
2025-02-23 NaN 2.928905e-06 0.000027 0.000094 0.000222 0.000419 0.000716
2025-03-02 NaN 2.010480e-06 0.000025 0.000092 0.000224 0.000431 0.000748
2025-03-09 NaN 1.205629e-06 0.000021 0.000088 0.000223 0.000438 0.000771
2025-03-16 NaN 7.796892e-07 0.000020 0.000087 0.000227 0.000453 0.000805
2025-03-23 NaN 4.885543e-07 0.000018 0.000086 0.000231 0.000468 0.000840